Opinion: The Fed is missing a crucial turning point in its fight against inflation because it believes in flawed data

The Fed can’t see the next potential economic meltdown because it’s still looking in the rear-view mirror, seeing nothing but High inflation. The risk arises because the CPI and PCE – the two most important measures of inflation – have a fatal flaw in the way they measure shelter costs. “ If you get your … Read more

The next financial crisis may already be ripe, but not as many expect

A growing number of traders, academics and bond market experts are concerned that the $24 trillion US Treasury debt market could head into crisis as the Federal Reserve began its “quantitative tightening” on high alert this month. With the Fed doubling the pace that its bond holdings will “roll” its balance sheet in September, some … Read more

Why this Fed move could be the ‘wild card’ flooding the stock market

Quantitative easing is credited with generating stock returns and boosting other speculative assets by flooding markets with liquidity as the Federal Reserve raised trillions of dollars in bonds after the financial crisis and amid the coronavirus pandemic. Investors and policy makers may underestimate what happens when the tide recedes. “I don’t know if the Fed … Read more